Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.065715 0.077620 0.090947 0.106958 0.125653 0.146777 0.172444
2025-05-18 0.048989 0.064853 0.084598 0.110907 0.144970 0.187504 0.244569
2025-05-25 0.036697 0.053129 0.075345 0.107425 0.152391 0.212988 0.300630
2025-06-01 0.029656 0.046246 0.070263 0.107311 0.162724 0.242165 0.364249
2025-06-08 0.024304 0.040454 0.065276 0.105834 0.170000 0.267027 0.424105
2025-06-15 0.021142 0.037291 0.063459 0.108443 0.183208 0.301648 0.502279
2025-06-22 0.017940 0.033403 0.059726 0.107157 0.189661 0.326083 0.566980
2025-06-29 0.015149 0.029681 0.055593 0.104386 0.192943 0.345317 0.624942
2025-07-06 0.012794 0.026312 0.051497 0.100939 0.194330 0.361135 0.678459
2025-07-13 0.011556 0.024844 0.050614 0.103158 0.206074 0.396200 0.769828
2025-07-20 0.010327 0.023175 0.049070 0.103825 0.214861 0.426701 0.856068
2025-07-27 0.009265 0.021663 0.047596 0.104370 0.223368 0.457454 0.946013
2025-08-03 0.008398 0.020458 0.046626 0.105927 0.234353 0.494715 1.054002
2025-08-10 0.007800 0.019763 0.046650 0.109615 0.250280 0.543730 1.191519
2025-08-17 0.006751 0.017819 0.043618 0.106128 0.250326 0.560135 1.263461
2025-08-24 0.006071 0.016650 0.042171 0.106008 0.257743 0.592805 1.373517
2025-08-31 0.005397 0.015377 0.040277 0.104546 0.261862 0.618691 1.471536
2025-09-07 0.005026 0.014831 0.040070 0.107124 0.275752 0.667767 1.626770
2025-09-14 0.004503 0.013776 0.038420 0.105853 0.280164 0.695654 1.736374
2025-09-21 0.003978 0.012617 0.036321 0.103115 0.280559 0.714132 1.825824
2025-09-28 0.003491 0.011478 0.034095 0.099708 0.278781 0.727152 1.903504
2025-10-05 0.003271 0.011107 0.033933 0.101901 0.291925 0.778178 2.080265
2025-10-12 0.003017 0.010583 0.033258 0.102560 0.301043 0.820088 2.238586